Columbus v Toronto MLS Preview – Our data driven match prediction

Columbus Crew v Toronto MLS stats and preview

Toronto is on the road again, heading to play Columbus Crew on the back of a defeat to Orlando. These 2 teams met earlier in May with Toronto grabbing a 2-0 win in the home fixture. 

Columbus comes into the match after beating New York City on the road. They are 8th in the league currently just one spot away from a knock out place. 

Latest stats

Columbus Crew Stats

Columbus Crew SC logo
Goal Stats

Average Goals Scored – 0.8

Average Goals Conceded – 0.8

Average Match Goals – 0.8

Corner Stats

Average Corners For – 2.8

Average Corners Against – 5.2

Average Match Corners – 8

Card Stats

Average Cards For – 1.8

Average Home Cards – 3

Columbus Crew Trends
  • Only 33% of Columbus games have gone over 2.5 goals, one of the lowest in the league. 50% of their matches have gone over 1.5 goals. This points us to a lower scoring game for Columbus. 
  • Columbus also has both teams scoring in 33% of their matches. They are yet to have a game with over 2,5 goals and BTTS no.
  • Columbus highest scoring game was a 3-1 win at home over DC United.
  • 50% of Columbus matches have over 0.5 goals in the first half, none of them has gone over 1.5 goals in the first half (6 matches so far).
  • In the last match with Toronto, Columbus had 48% possession, 10 shots and 3 shots on target. They picked up 2 yellow cards, no red cards and won 4 corners.

Toronto FC Stats

Toronto-FC logo
Goal Stats

Average Goals Scored – 1.16

Average Goals Conceded – 1.66

Average Match Goals – 2.83

Corner Stats

Average Corners For – 5.2

Average Corners Against – 3.5

Average Match Corners – 8.7

Card Stats

Average Cards For – 2

Average Away Cards – 1.67

Toronto Trends
  • Toronto also has had 33% of their matches going over 2.5 goals. 83% of their games have gone over 1.5 goals with is above the MLS average of 73%. A prediction of exactly 2 goals in the match looks like a good one from this data. 
  • Toronto has played 6 matches so far and both teams have scored in 3 of them. This is just slightly below the MLS average of 52%. 
  • The last 4 MLS matches have produced just 7 goals and now have gone over 2.5 goals. 3 of them have gone over 1.5 goals. The current trend is for fewer goals. 
  • 83% of games have seen a goal in the first half, this puts Toronto 3rd highest in the league for this stat. 
  • Toronto is 4th from the bottom for the total match corners with an average of 8.7 corners. This is way below the leagues average of 10.1.

Columbus Crew v Toronto Prediction

Data Prediction

  • Columbus 0-1 Toronto half-time score.
  • Columbus 1-1 Toronto full-time score.
  • 3 bookings in the match, 2 for Columbus, 1 for Toronto.
  • 9 match corners
  • Corners Orlando 4 -5 Toronto

Our writer’s preview

This is an interesting match up in the MLS. Neither team is playing free-flowing soccer and scoring a lot of goals. Both teams tend to have low scoring games and the data prediction of a 1-1 draw looks on the cards based on the stats. 

Writers match predictions

  • Exactly 2 goals in the match
  • Exactly 1 goal in the first half
  • Toronto to win on corners

There is a lot of information that can be taken from this data now we are 6 matches into the MLS season. 

Toronto are really lacking a goal scorer and Altidore has not performed as expected. He needs to up his game and start finding the goal more often if Toronto is to push on and get towards the playoff places (Which looks unlikely at the moment). 

Columbus v Toronto MLS Preview – Our data driven match prediction
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